ROUTINE FIRE WX PLANNING FCST(WITH/WITHOUT 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK)

 
 FNUS55 KTWC 092120
 FWFTWC
 
 FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
 226 PM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY INTO TOMORROW 
 MORNING FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST ARIZONA. ANOTHER WINTER STORM WILL 
 BRING VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. 
 THIS NEXT STORM WILL BE COLDER THAN RECENT ONES...SO THE SNOW LEVEL 
 WILL BE MUCH LOWER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY WITH 
 SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ABOVE 4000 FEET OR EVEN LOWER. 
 DRY AND WARMER FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
 
 AZZ146-101415-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 146
 NORTHERN GREENLEE COUNTY-GRAHAM COUNTY NORTH OF GILA RIVER-
 APACHE NF/SAN CARLOS BIA/SDC-
 226 PM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW 
                          SHOWERS. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........29 TO 39 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........18 TO 28 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 5 TO 6 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........78 TO 88 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........89 TO 99 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 1 TO 8 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........10 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE 
                          MORNING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH 
                          THE DAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SLIGHT 
                          CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........42 TO 52 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........37 TO 47 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 4 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........44 TO 54 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........49 TO 59 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 6 TO 10 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........50 PCT. 
 LAL......................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............8513 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........EAST 9 KNOTS SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 16 
                          KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (136208 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
                          NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                          THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. NUMEROUS 
                          SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........27 TO 37 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........20 TO 30 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 2 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........89 TO 99 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........93 TO 100 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 11 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........80 PCT. 
 LAL......................2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .THURSDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND 
                          SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED 
                          SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........39 TO 49 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........34 TO 44 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 3 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........52 TO 62 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........49 TO 59 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 1 TO 8 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........30 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............3142 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTH 8 TO 15 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (47130 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 20 TO 35. HIGHS 38 TO 53. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 41 TO 56 PCT. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 22 TO 37. HIGHS 45 TO 60. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 28 TO 43 PCT. 
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 24 TO 39. HIGHS 48 TO 63. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO 36 PCT. 
 .PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 23 TO 38. HIGHS 49 TO 64. 
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 26 TO 41. HIGHS 50 TO 65. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 146 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
 
 

 
 AZZ147-101415-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 147
 SOUTHEAST PINAL COUNTY-WESTERN PIMA COUNTY-
 TOHONO OODHAM NATION-CORONADO NF/PAPAGO BIA/TDC-
 226 PM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........37 TO 47 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........UP 7 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............69 TO 79 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 10 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE 
                          MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE 
                          AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
                          LATE. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........50 TO 60 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 6 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............50 TO 60 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........UP 18 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING 
                          SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........60 PCT. 
 LAL......................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............8311 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 7 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTH 20 
                          KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (166220 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE 
                          EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
                          THROUGH THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER 
                          MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........33 TO 43 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 4 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............88 TO 98 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........UP 19 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE 
                          NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........60 PCT. 
 LAL......................2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .THURSDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........51 TO 61 DEGS. 
    24 HR TREND...........LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............46 TO 56 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 4 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........20 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............6029 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (60290 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 34 TO 44. HIGHS 55 TO 65. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 37 TO 47 PCT. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 36 TO 46. HIGHS 61 TO 71. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 26 TO 36 PCT. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 38 TO 48. HIGHS 64 TO 74. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 24 TO 34 PCT. 
 .PRESIDENTS DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39 TO 49. HIGHS 65 TO 75. 
 .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 40 TO 50. HIGHS 65 TO 75. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 147 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
 (3500 MSL)
 
 

 
 AZZ148-101415-
 ARIZONA FIRE WEATHER ZONE 148
 GRAHAM COUNTY SOUTH OF GILA RIVER-TUCSON/MARANA/GREEN
 VALLEY-SANTA CRUZ-COCHISE COUNTY-CORONADO NF/
 SAFFORD BLM/TDC-
 226 PM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........34 TO 44 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........24 TO 34 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........UP 6 TO 8 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........60 TO 70 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........67 TO 77 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 22 TO 29 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........0 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SNOW 
                          SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED 
                          SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE 
                          OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........46 TO 56 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........36 TO 46 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 5 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........45 TO 55 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........48 TO 58 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 9 TO 16 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING 
                          SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. 
 LAL......................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............7671 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........SOUTHEAST 8 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTH 22 
                          KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....EXCELLENT (168762 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER..............MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY 
                          MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                          THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. NUMEROUS 
                          SHOWERS EARLY. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........30 TO 40 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........22 TO 32 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 4 DEGS. 
 MAX HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........87 TO 97 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........90 TO 100 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........UP 23 TO 27 PCT. 
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 
                          15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........90 PCT. 
 LAL......................2. 
 HAINES INDEX.............3 VERY LOW. 
 
 .THURSDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER..............PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW 
                          SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED 
                          SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE..........
    BELOW 5000 FT.........44 TO 54 DEGS
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........34 TO 44 DEGS
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 DEGS. 
 MIN HUMIDITY.............
    BELOW 5000 FT.........36 TO 46 PCT
    ABOVE 5000 FT.........46 TO 56 PCT
    24 HR TREND...........DOWN 2 TO 9 PCT.
 WIND (20 FT/10-MIN AVG)..UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 FREE-AIR WIND (10K FT)...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                          NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP.........40 PCT. 
 LAL......................1. 
 HAINES INDEX.............2 VERY LOW. 
 MIXING HEIGHT............5535 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WINDS..........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 KNOTS. 
 VENTILATION CATEGORY.....GOOD (66420 KNOT-FT). 
 
 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
 WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 27 TO 39. HIGHS 44 TO 59. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 41 TO 56 PCT. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 29 TO 41. HIGHS 51 TO 66. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 24 TO 39 PCT. 
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 31 TO 43. HIGHS 54 TO 69. NO
 SIGNIFICANT WIND OVER 15 MPH. MINIMUM HUMIDITY 21 TO 36 PCT. 
 .PRESIDENTS DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 31 TO 43. HIGHS 55 TO 70. 
 .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 31 TO 45. HIGHS 56 TO 71. 
 
 NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 148 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
 TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
 
 

 
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