ROUTINE FIRE WX PLANNING FCST(WITH/WITHOUT 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK)

 
 FNUS55 KPSR 090957
 FWFPSR
 
 FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
 ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
 257 AM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .DISCUSSION...
 WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN DRY WEATHER WITH CLOSE TO THE
 SAME TEMPERATURES TODAY COMPARED WITH YESTERDAY. SOME CLOUDINESS FROM
 THE SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED. IT WILL ALSO BE BREEZY FROM THE SOUTH IN
 JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
 AHEAD OF THE NEXT PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN
 AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY TO SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND
 SOUTHWEST ARIZONA TONIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY TO SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-
 CENTRAL ARIZONA INCLUDING THE GREATER PHOENIX AREA WEDNESDAY. IT WILL
 ALSO BE COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITY WEDNESDAY.
 
 ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...
 
 NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
 IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.
 
 AZZ132-092200-
 WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
 AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
 NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
 PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
 257 AM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TODAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................59-66. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................31-41 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......7900 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 7 KNOTS. 
 DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD. 
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS . SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                 THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE.................42-52. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY....................70-96 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2 AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND 
                                 SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN 
                                 THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................55-61. 
    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................44-61 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................17 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE 
                                 AFTERNOON. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 
                                 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 1 IN 
                                 THE AFTERNOON. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
                                 DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9500 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 12 KNOTS. 
 DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT. 
 
 
 .EXTENDED...
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
 39-49. HIGHS 58-65. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42-52. HIGHS 63-70. NORTH WINDS
 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42-52. HIGHS 67-73. NORTH WINDS
 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 68-74. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-53. HIGHS 68-75. 
 
 

 
 AZZ133-092200-
 SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
 SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
 CAZ-
 257 AM MST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TODAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................47-60. 
    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................34-51 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE.................23-44. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY....................67-100 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 
                                 10 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN 
                                 THE MORNING...BECOMING SHOWERS 
                                 LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................44-57. 
    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................45-65 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE 
                                 AFTERNOON. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 
 
 .EXTENDED...
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
 21-43. HIGHS 45-59. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 21-43. HIGHS 52-65. SOUTH WINDS
 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 24-44. HIGHS 55-68. NORTH WINDS
 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 24-44. HIGHS 55-68. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 24-45. HIGHS 55-69. 
 
 

 
 AZZ131-CAZ231-092200-
 YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
 LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
 257 AM MST TUE FEB 9 2010 /157 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2010/
 
 .TODAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................63-67. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................33-42 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE 
                                 AFTERNOON. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7500 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 10 KNOTS. 
 DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD. 
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS . 
                                 SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE.................44-50. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY....................86-96 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING WEST AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2 AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND 
                                 SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN 
                                 THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-62. 
    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................42-67 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................19 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 15 TO 
                                 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 1 IN 
                                 THE AFTERNOON. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........2500 FT AGL. 
 TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........NORTHWEST 13 KNOTS. 
 DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR. 
 
 
 .EXTENDED...
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41-50. HIGHS 62-66. NORTHWEST
 WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 44-50. HIGHS 67-72. NORTHWEST WINDS
 5 TO 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 45-52. HIGHS 70-74. NORTHWEST
 WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-52. HIGHS 71-76. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-52. HIGHS 71-76. 
 
 

 
 CAZ230-092200-
 JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
 157 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TODAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................47-62. 
    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................41-68 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................17 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 
                                 20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY . 
                                 SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT 
                                 CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE.................32-43. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY....................79-100 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................60 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2 AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY 
                                 AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
                                 IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................42-57. 
    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................43-67 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................50 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 1 IN 
                                 THE AFTERNOON. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 
 
 .EXTENDED...
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 32-45. HIGHS 49-62. NORTHWEST
 WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37-45. HIGHS 54-66. WEST WINDS 5 TO
 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 37-46. HIGHS 57-70. NORTHWEST
 WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-46. HIGHS 59-71. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 39-47. HIGHS 59-71. 
 
 

 
 CAZ232-092200-
 IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
 157 AM PST TUE FEB 9 2010
 
 .TODAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................58-67. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................36-55 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE 
                                 AFTERNOON. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 
 .TONIGHT...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE 
                                 EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS . 
                                 SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS 
                                 AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
 MIN TEMPERATURE.................43-49. 
    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE. 
 MAX HUMIDITY....................76-96 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................1 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2 AFTER 
                                 MIDNIGHT. 
 
 .WEDNESDAY...
 SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND 
                                 SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN 
                                 THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF 
                                 SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 MAX TEMPERATURE.................54-61. 
    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER. 
 MIN HUMIDITY....................49-64 PCT. 
    24 HR TREND..................12 PCT WETTER. 
 WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 WINDS...10000 FT MSL............EAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE 
                                 MORNING...BECOMING NORTHEAST 15 TO 
                                 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. 
 CHANCE OF PRECIP................60 PERCENT. 
 CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................40 PERCENT. 
 LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 1 IN 
                                 THE AFTERNOON. 
 HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE 
                                 PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 
 
 
 .EXTENDED...
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 42-50. HIGHS 58-67. WEST WINDS
 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 45-50. HIGHS 63-72. WEST WINDS 5 TO
 10 MPH. 
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 46-51. HIGHS 67-76. NORTHWEST
 WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-51. HIGHS 67-77. 
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 47-52. HIGHS 68-77. 
 
 

 
 .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...TUESDAY FEBRUARY 16TH THROUGH THURSDAY
 FEBRUARY 18TH...DRY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
 
 

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