AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 
 FXUS65 KFGZ 231018
 AFDFGZ
 
 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
 315 AM MST MON NOV 23 2009
 
 .SYNOPSIS...NORTHERN ARIZONA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MILD DAYS...COLD 
 NIGHTS...AND OCCASIONAL HIGH CLOUDS THROUGH THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY. 
 
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 .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL CONTINUE TO 
 PRODUCE MILD HIGH TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH COLD 
 NIGHTS ACROSS THE NORTHLAND THROUGH THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY. EXPECT 
 OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF HIGH CLOUDS MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WITH 
 ZERO CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGH FRIDAY. 
 
 EXTENDED FORECAST...FROM SATURDAY ONWARD FORECAST MODELS ARE SHOWING 
 THE LONG WAVE PATTERN BECOMING MORE AMPLIFIED AND MERIDIONAL. THIS 
 CHANGE IN THE LONG WAVE PATTERN COULD HERALD A CHANGE IN OUR CURRENT 
 DRY SPELL AT SOME POINT NEXT WEEK. FOR NOW WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT 
 UNTIL THE TIME PERIOD GETS CLOSER TO PIN DOWN THESE POSSIBLE CHANGES 
 TO OUR WEATHER.
 
 ANY CHANCE FOR MORE PRECIPITATION WOULD BE WELCOME AS THE CURRENT 
 ANNUAL PRECIPITATION (RAIN AND MELTED SNOWFALL) TOTALS FOR FLAGSTAFF 
 FROM JANUARY THROUGH NOVEMBER OF 2009 STAND AT 8.56 INCHES...WHICH 
 IS APPROXIMATELY 12 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. AS OF 
 NOVEMBER 23RD 2009...FLAGSTAFF IS FIRMLY IN SECOND PLACE FOR THE ALL 
 TIME LOWEST ANNUAL PRECIPITATION OVER A 111 YEAR RECORD PERIOD. 
 
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 .AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS WITH PERIODS 
 OF SCATTERED TO BROKEN HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA FOR THE 
 NEXT 24 HOURS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.
 
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 .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. 
 
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 PUBLIC.................BOHLIN
 AVIATION...............ONTON
 
 VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER 
 INFORMATION. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

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