AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

 
 FXUS66 KOTX 241834
AFDOTX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1034 AM PST TUE NOV 24 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME VERY LIGHT RAIN TO THE
REGION THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A DRY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDY
AFTERNOON...WITH A RETURN OF THE SAME FRONT WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION TONIGHT. THE THANKSGIVING HOLIDAY WILL BE MAINLY DRY
BUT CLOUDY. ON FRIDAY A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH WITH ANOTHER
REASONABLE CHANCE OF MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VALLEY RAIN OR SNOW.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN CLOUDY AND UNSETTLED INTO NEXT WEEKEND.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
A MOIST MID LEVEL FRONT IS CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF
THE FORECAST AREA. REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS SOME LIGHT RETURNS
OVER THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEAST ZONES. ONLY TRACE AMOUNTS REPORTED
AT METAR SITES BUT WITH A MORE CONVECTIVE APPEARANCE TO THE CLOUDS
I HAVE RAISED THE ZERO POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF OUR BASIN ZONES AND INTO THE PALOUSE FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS REMAINS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE MTS THIS AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT
AND WHERE OROGRAPHIC ASCENT WILL ENHANCE LIFT. MAX TEMPS WERE
ADJUSTED AS A SIGNIFICANT PORTION OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN OUR
WESTERN ZONES HAD ALREADY ECLIPSED THE FORECAST MAX TEMP THIS
MORNING. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PACKAGE APPEARS ON TRACK.
/KELCH

&&

.AVIATION...
A MOIST MID LEVEL FRONT HAS SAGGED SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KPSC TO
KMLP THIS MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST WA AND THE IDAHO PANHANDLE THROUGH 22Z. A BRIEF SHOWER
AT KEAT BROUGHT CIGS DOWN TO MVFR AND CALM WINDS WILL ALLOW THIS TO
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT
REMAINING TAF SITES WITH THICK MID LEVEL CLOUDS WITH BRIEF MVFR
CIGS POSSIBLE IN PASSING SHOWERS. THE FRONT WILL MOVE BACK NORTH
TONIGHT AS A WARM FRONT WITH LOWERING CIGS AT ALL TAF SITES...AND
VERY LIGHT RAIN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90 BEGINNING AROUND 06Z. AFTER
09Z...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP IN KGEG-KCOE CORRIDOR.
MOUNTAINS NORTH AND EAST OF THE BASIN WILL EXPERIENCE AREAS OF
OBSCURATIONS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SPOKANE 39 33 43 33 41 34 / 60 20 0 0 10 30
COEUR D`ALENE 39 32 44 32 41 34 / 60 20 10 0 0 30
PULLMAN 40 31 45 33 45 35 / 60 10 0 0 0 30
LEWISTON 47 35 47 35 48 39 / 30 10 0 0 0 20
COLVILLE 40 31 43 33 42 34 / 10 30 20 20 20 40
SANDPOINT 38 29 43 31 39 33 / 60 20 10 10 10 20
KELLOGG 37 31 43 30 41 33 / 60 30 10 0 0 20
MOSES LAKE 45 32 44 33 42 34 / 20 10 0 10 10 40
WENATCHEE 43 34 45 33 41 36 / 20 10 0 10 20 30
OMAK 43 31 42 32 41 35 / 10 20 10 20 30 40

&&

.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
WA...NONE.
&&