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FXUS66 KPDT 241025 AFDPDT AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR 225 AM AM PST TUE NOV 24 2009 .SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A WEAK PACIFIC WEATHER DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY CROSSING THE REGION WITH AN EMBEDDED WEAK UPPER TROUGH IN THE FLOW. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING SOME LIGHT PRECIP...MAINLY OVER THE CASCADE CREST AND EAST SLOPES. THE AIR OVER THE CREST IS ABOVE FREEZING GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. THERE MAY BE A FEW ISOLATED POCKETS OF BELOW FREEZING AIR IN THE CANYONS AND VALLEYS SO CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT VERY LIGHT AND LOCAL FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING AFTER DAY BREAK AND CHANGE ANY PRECIPITATION TO JUST RAIN. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN AND AMPLIFY TONIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT KEEPING MOISTURE AND ENERGY WITH ANY PACIFIC STORMS TO THE NORTH OF THE CWA. AS SUCH WILL HAVE A MOSTLY DRY FORECAST FOR THE CWA...EXCEPT THE CENTRAL WASHINGTON CASCADE CREST/EAST SLOPES WHICH MAY STILL RECEIVE SOME SLOP OVER LIGHT PRECIP FROM THE WEST. VALLEY AND COLUMBIA BASIN INVERSIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER AREAS OF NORTHERN AND NORTHEAST OREGON AND THE COLUMBIA BASIN AND ADJACENT VALLEYS IN WASHINGTON. THIS COULD BE THE FIRST REAL FOG EPISODE OF THE SEASON DUE THE RECENT MOISTURE THAT FELL OVER THE REGION AND THAT WHICH FALLS TODAY. ANY FOG THAT FORMS WILL FIRST FORM ALONG THE LARGER RIVERS AND STREAMS AND THEN WILL EXPAND TO COVER A GREATER AREA OF THE COLUMBIA BASIN AND ADJACENT VALLEYS. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN DURING THE DAY AND UP AT NIGHT WHILE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN MILD TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY WITH COLD FROSTY NIGHTS. 88 .LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...MAIN WEATHER CONCERN DURING THIS PERIOD WILL OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MAKE ITS WAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA LATE THURSDAY. MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL ENJOY A DRY THANKSGIVING DAY WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CASCADES WHERE SOME RAIN WILL BEGIN DURING THE DAY AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE CASCADES. THE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWERING SNOW LEVELS. THE TROUGH WITH ITS ASSOCIATED COLD AIR WILL PASS OVER THE REGION FRIDAY RESULTING IN SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN REBUILD OVER THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH THE MAIN STORM TRACK NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE WASHINGTON CASCADES WOULD BE ABOUT THE ONLY AREA THREATENED WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT WILL CLIP THE REGION ON MONDAY BUT NOT BE MUCH OF A PRECIPITATION PRODUCER. && .AVIATION...12Z TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE PREVALENT FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH BROKEN-OVERCAST SKIES SKIES GENERALLY ABOVE 5000 FEET AGL. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM AND COULD LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES TO MVFR LEVELS NEAR THE HEAVIER SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN WASHINGTON TODAY. SHOWERS WILL END AND SKIES WILL PARTIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SURFACE WINDS WILL PRIMARILY STAY BELOW 15 KTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BUT COULD REACH 10 TO 20 KTS BRIEFLY NEAR THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... PDT 48 34 44 34 / 20 0 0 0 ALW 47 36 41 31 / 20 0 0 0 PSC 50 33 46 32 / 20 0 0 0 YKM 48 31 45 32 / 20 0 0 0 HRI 48 32 45 30 / 20 0 0 0 ELN 47 32 44 30 / 20 10 10 10 RDM 52 26 50 28 / 10 0 0 0 LGD 44 28 43 31 / 20 10 10 10 GCD 47 28 52 25 / 10 0 0 0 DLS 51 38 52 36 / 20 0 0 0 && .PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...NONE. WA...NONE. && THREAT INDEX TODAY : GREEN WEDNESDAY : GREEN THURSDAY : GREEN GREEN: NONE OR LIMITED NEED FOR WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES. YELLOW: A FEW WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES POSSIBLE OR IN EFFECT. RED: NUMEROUS WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES POSSIBLE OR IN EFFECT. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PENDLETON
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